Economic Research | Country Risk Weekly Bulletin | Country Risk Weekly Bulletin 523 | Egyptian banking sector faces significant economic risks | Lebanon | Byblos Bank

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Byblos Bank

Country Risk Weekly Bulletin 523

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Egyptian banking sector faces significant economic risks

S&P Global Ratings maintained Egypt's Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment (BICRA) in 'Group 10', with an economic risk score of '10' and an industry risk score of '8'. The BICRA framework evaluates banking systems based on economic and industry risks facing a banking sector, with 'Group 10' including the riskiest banking sectors. Other countries in BICRA's 'Group 10' include Belarus, Greece, Nigeria and Ukraine. S&P indicated that Egypt's economic risk score reflects its "extremely high risks" in its economic resilience and credit risks in the economy, as well as "high risks" in its economic imbalances. It expected banks to face rising credit losses in the short term, mainly due to the inflationary pressure caused by the devaluation of the Egyptian pound and the government's fiscal consolidation. It anticipated the banks' non-performing loans ratio to gradually increase from 5.5% at end-June 2017 to 5.9% at end-June 2018. In addition, it said that banks remain highly exposed to the sovereign, with their holdings of sovereign debt equivalent to about 50% of their aggregate assets at the end of June 2017. 
Source: S&P Global Ratings
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